Nigeria Unveils 10-Year Capital Market Plan, Targets $1 Trillion Economy


By Simpson Global Media News Desk

ABUJA, Nigeria — October 22, 2026

The Federal Government has unveiled a 10-year capital-market master plan and a National Savings Scheme designed to mobilise more domestic savings, attract investment and expand the role of Nigeria’s financial markets in funding economic development.

The initiatives, unveiled in Abuja on October 19, are intended to make the capital market a more important source of financing for infrastructure, businesses and long-term investment. The Nigerian Capital Market Master Plan 2.0 will run from 2026 to 2036, according to the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the News Agency of Nigeria. <Cite refs={["turn968616view0"]}/>

The government’s plans include increasing the size of the equities market relative to the economy, improving market infrastructure, introducing more investment products and broadening participation beyond a relatively small group of active investors.

The National Savings Scheme is intended to provide regulated channels through which Nigerians can save and invest towards goals such as education, housing, business development and retirement. Officials say the programme will seek to make investment more accessible, including through small contributions using mobile phones. <Cite refs={["turn968616view0"]}/>

The announcement comes as Nigeria seeks to attract more private capital to support economic growth while reducing reliance on additional public borrowing. Finance Minister Taiwo Oyedele said earlier this week that private investors at home and abroad would play a greater role in financing the country’s next phase of development. <Cite refs={["turn968616view2"]}/>

A decade-long strategy for the capital market

Vice-President Kashim Shettima, represented at the unveiling by Deputy Chief of Staff Ibrahim Hadejia, said the plan would help place the capital market at the centre of infrastructure financing and future economic development.

Oyedele said the strategy would focus on coordinated regulation, modern market infrastructure, new investment products, broader participation and stronger institutions. <Cite refs={["turn968616view0"]}/>

According to SEC Director-General Emomotimi Agama, the plan aims to grow the market from a baseline of about N250 trillion to N750 trillion by 2036. Officials also outlined an ambition to develop a market valued at $1 trillion, reflecting the government’s broader economic objectives. <Cite refs={["turn968616view0"]}/>

The targets represent ambitions rather than guaranteed outcomes. Their achievement will depend on economic growth, investor confidence, the supply of investable businesses, effective regulation and the ability of companies to raise funds through the market.

The master plan builds on an earlier capital-market development programme. Its central challenge will be to convert policy proposals into reforms that improve how investors participate and how businesses obtain long-term financing.

Raising the market’s contribution to GDP

One of the plan’s stated goals is to increase equities market capitalisation from approximately 33 per cent of gross domestic product to at least 60 per cent.

Market capitalisation measures the combined market value of listed companies’ shares. Comparing it with GDP provides an indication of the stock market’s size relative to the economy, although it does not measure the full contribution of the financial sector to economic activity.

A larger market can create more opportunities for companies to raise equity funding, allowing them to finance expansion without depending exclusively on bank loans or government support.

However, market growth must be supported by the participation of investors and the presence of businesses capable of meeting listing requirements. A rise in share prices alone would not necessarily mean that more companies are obtaining capital or that investment opportunities are reaching more households.

The government’s strategy therefore also emphasises broader participation, stronger institutions and improvements to market infrastructure. <Cite refs={["turn968616view0"]}/>

National Savings Scheme seeks to widen participation

The National Savings Scheme is designed to help Nigerians move more savings into regulated investment products.

Oyedele said the initiative would offer accessible investment channels, transparent information, reasonable costs and a complaints process. He also said tax incentives could be provided within the law. <Cite refs={["turn968616view0"]}/>

The programme’s design will be important for people who have limited experience with shares, bonds or collective investment schemes.

For many households, the first barrier to investing is not simply a lack of interest. It can include limited disposable income, uncertainty about risk, difficulty opening accounts, concerns about fraud and a lack of clear information about available products.

Small-contribution options could make regulated investment more accessible to people who cannot commit large sums at once. Mobile-based access could also reduce some of the practical barriers associated with conventional investment channels.

Nevertheless, accessibility must be matched by strong consumer protection. Investors need to understand whether a product’s value can rise or fall, what fees apply, how withdrawals work and what risks they are accepting.

The government has not announced that every detail of the scheme, including all eligible products and operational procedures, is already available. Nigerians should look for official SEC guidance before making decisions based on the new initiative.

Addressing the risk of unregulated investments

At the unveiling, Oyedele expressed concern that some young Nigerians were putting money into betting platforms, unregulated cryptocurrency activities and Ponzi schemes instead of regulated investment products. <Cite refs={["turn968616view0"]}/>

The concern highlights the importance of financial education and reliable information about investment risks.

A regulated investment is not automatically risk-free, and investors can still lose money when markets decline or businesses perform poorly. Regulation, however, establishes rules and oversight intended to improve transparency, accountability and investor protection.

Ponzi schemes are different from legitimate investments because they typically use money from newer participants to pay earlier participants, rather than generating sustainable returns from genuine economic activity. Such schemes can collapse when new contributions are insufficient to meet promised payments.

A savings programme will need to explain these differences clearly and provide practical ways for the public to verify whether an investment provider is authorised.

Public confidence will depend not only on the availability of new products but also on whether complaints are handled effectively and misconduct is investigated.

Financing businesses and infrastructure

The government wants the capital market to become a more important source of financing for infrastructure and productive businesses.

Long-term projects, including industrial facilities, transport networks and energy infrastructure, often require substantial investment that may not be readily available through short-term commercial lending.

Capital markets can connect companies and project sponsors with investors willing to provide funding through shares, bonds and other regulated instruments.

For businesses, access to this funding can support expansion, equipment purchases, new employment and improved productive capacity. For investors, it can create opportunities to participate in the growth of companies and the wider economy.

But these benefits depend on credible projects, reliable financial disclosures and clear rules governing the use of investors’ money.

Companies seeking public investment must also demonstrate that they can meet their obligations and communicate material information to the market.

Investment-grade credit rating remains a goal

Oyedele said the government was targeting an investment-grade credit rating within the next three years. He linked that ambition to sustained reforms, improved market liquidity and dependable arrangements for foreign investors to repatriate their funds. <Cite refs={["turn968616view0"]}/>

A credit rating assesses the ability and willingness of a borrower to meet financial obligations. Investment-grade ratings generally indicate lower credit risk than ratings below investment grade, although they do not eliminate the possibility of losses.

An improved sovereign rating could help influence how international investors assess Nigerian debt and the country’s broader investment environment. It would not, by itself, guarantee increased investment or lower borrowing costs.

Investors also consider economic stability, public finances, exchange-rate risks, regulation and the practical ability to move funds into and out of a market.

The government’s target therefore depends on progress across a range of economic and institutional issues, not only on capital-market reforms.

The challenge of bringing more companies to market

Expanding the capital market also requires a stronger pipeline of companies willing and able to raise funds from the public.

At the unveiling, House Committee on Capital Market and Institutions Chairman Osita Izunaso urged the government to support the listing of more companies on the Nigerian Exchange Group. He cited about 151 listed companies. <Cite refs={["turn968616view0"]}/>

A wider range of listed businesses could give investors more options across sectors and create additional routes for companies to obtain funding.

However, some businesses may be reluctant to list because of the cost of compliance, disclosure requirements, ownership considerations and scrutiny from shareholders.

The government and regulators will need to make the market attractive without weakening the safeguards designed to protect investors.

The objective should be sustainable growth in the number and quality of listed companies, supported by transparent reporting and effective enforcement.

Private capital and Nigeria’s wider economic direction

The capital-market plan is being introduced alongside a wider policy emphasis on private investment.

Speaking at Chatham House in London on October 21, Oyedele said Nigeria would increasingly rely on domestic and foreign private capital to finance its next stage of growth rather than depend on additional state borrowing. He also ruled out a return to petrol subsidies. <Cite refs={["turn968616view2"]}/>

The minister said inflation had fallen to 14.63 per cent from 21 per cent a year earlier, while expressing a desire to bring it down further. He also cited an ambition for average annual economic growth of about 7 per cent over the next five years. <Cite refs={["turn968616view2"]}/>

Those statements describe government objectives and its assessment of recent progress; they do not guarantee that inflation or growth will follow the projected path.

For businesses and households, the key issue is whether macroeconomic improvements translate into more affordable financing, stronger purchasing power, productive investment and employment opportunities.

A deeper capital market could contribute to that transition by connecting savings with viable projects. But investment activity alone cannot substitute for effective infrastructure, predictable policy, reliable electricity, skilled workers and a business environment in which companies can operate efficiently.

Implementation and accountability

The SEC is expected to establish implementation structures for the master plan, including a Project Steering Committee and a Capital Market Master Plan Implementation Committee. <Cite refs={["turn968616view0"]}/>

These bodies will have an important role in translating the broad objectives into measurable actions and monitoring progress through 2036.

Investors and businesses will need clarity about which reforms come first, when new products will be available and how changes to market systems will affect participation.

Regular reporting on progress would help the public distinguish between announced targets and results that have actually been achieved.

The government will also need to demonstrate that the National Savings Scheme is accessible to ordinary savers, not only wealthier households or experienced market participants.

For the programme to build lasting confidence, the rules governing investment products, fees, complaints and provider authorisation must be communicated clearly.

What happens next?

The immediate test is implementation. The new master plan sets out a long-term direction, while the savings scheme proposes a way to broaden access to regulated investment. The next stage will require operational details, effective oversight and evidence that businesses and households can use the new arrangements.

The SEC’s implementation structures will be expected to help coordinate the work and track progress against the stated targets. Investors should await official programme guidance rather than assume that every proposed feature is already operational.

Nigeria’s ambition to build a larger capital market reflects the need for more diverse sources of financing as the country seeks stronger economic growth. The plan could create new opportunities if it attracts sustainable investment, encourages credible companies to raise capital and protects the public from abusive schemes.

Ultimately, the success of the 2026–2036 strategy will be measured not simply by the market’s headline value, but by whether it helps viable businesses grow, mobilises savings responsibly and expands access to productive investment across Nigeria.

Sources: News Agency of Nigeria, October 20, 2026; Reuters, October 21, 2026.

Comments